Tuesday, September 15, 2009

EUR/GBP Up-trend meets the 200-Day MA



as noted before EUR/GBP Weekly chart probes T/L resistance.

Daily chart is a little puzzle:
> Up-trend breakout of the Dec'08 - March'09 tops Trendline

> break of the 0.8866/69 highs from May - June'09
(blue vertical resistance line)

> the move bounced comfortably off the 21-Day MA (now at 0.8747)
...........
> Resistance presently is the 200-Day MA at 0.8885

so Price is confined right now between the 21 and 200-Day MAs - mu assumption is it either closes today above 200dma and tomorrow just takes off into 0.89/0.90...
--- the other option it retraces to test the support at the former T/L resistance around 0.8820/40 and then resumes the run up..
...............
any close below 0.8750 cancels the current uptrend scenario.

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